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When the Panthers won their Week 17 game against the New Orleans Saints in the legendary Kyle Allen versus Teddy Bridgewater showdown Michael Palardy Jersey , Carolina ended up finishing 7-9 instead of 6-10. This victory caused the Panthers 2019 first round draft pick to fall from a potential Top 10 selection to No. 16. I’m on record as saying I’m fine with this for two reasons. First, football is supposed to be entertaining and it was dang fun beating the Saints after seven straight losses. Second, I believe the NFL draft is largely educated guesswork so if you trust your scouts and GM to nail the No. 9 pick then you should trust them to do the same at No. 16. The Panthers will have multiple roster holes to fill next year and will need immediate production from their early-round draft picks similar to the impacts made by 2018’s rookies D.J. Moore (No. 24 pick) and Donte Jackson (No. 55). One way to assess the probability of drafting a Year 1 impact rookie is to go back and look at draft positions of the players who made the Professional Football Writers of America all-rookie team. Based on data I pulled from Football Reference here are the draft positions of the PFWA’s all-rookie selections between 2014 and 2018 (and here’s my nerdy spreadsheet if you’re interested.) This analysis focuses on regular position players only and excludes special teamers. Mick Smiley, Cat Scratch ReaderOver the last five years 22 all-rookie selections were drafted in the Top 10 while 21 were drafted between 11-20. A total of 50 players were drafted among these groups between 2014 and 2018 so more than 40 percent of Top 20 picks have been named all-rookie. Things drop off pretty quickly after the Top 20 though. In a weird quirk https://www.carolinapanthersfanshop.com/Sam-Mills-Jersey , only nine of the 50 players (18 percent) selected between 21-30 made all-rookie which is a much lower number than the 15 players (30 percent) drafted between 31-40. Roughly 15 percent of players drafted between 41-70 have been named all-rookie. Good luck finding a needle in a haystack after that. Interestingly, this same general pattern between draft position and overall success can be seen in Pro Bowl selections. As I’ve previously written, the 2017 Pro Bowl roster had the highest representation among Top 10 draft picks (23 players) followed by those picked between 11-20 (16). Just as with the all-rookie selections, there was a drop off after the Top 20 with 10 Pro Bowlers drafted between 21-30 and nine Pro Bowlers selected between 31-40. Things then level out among Pro Bowlers drafted between 40-100 https://www.carolinapanthersfanshop.com/Christian-Mccaffrey-Jersey , also reflecting a similar distribution for the all-rookie selections. If you’re still annoyed the Panthers beat the Saints in a meaningless Week 17 game which ended up costing Carolina a higher draft spot in 2019, hopefully this data will help you enter the offseason with a sunnier disposition. All is not lost. The key is to pick in the Top 20, which the Panthers will be doing at No. 16. And if that doesn’t do anything for you then just remember that Panthers fans ended their season with a fun win against a division rival. Saints fans ended their season with heartache and pending legal action against the NFL. The Panthers have issued today’s injury report for their Week 3 game against the Bengals and there’s good news—cornerback Donte Jackson returned to practice and is officially listed as questionable for Sunday’s game.In other news, Trai Turner and Da’Norris Searcy are still in the concussion protocol. Curtis Samuel is still not practicing after his “minor” heart procedure but is working out https://www.carolinapanthersfanshop.com/Daryl-Williams-Jersey , per Ron Rivera. Meanwhile, Damiere Byrd has graduated from the DNP list and is now practicing on a limited basis. The Panthers could use his help as a returner just as much as they could as a receiver. The full list from Friday is below:Panthers injury reportGame statusOutTE Greg Olsen (foot)WR Curtis Samuel (medical illness)S DaNorris Searcy (concussion)G Trai Turner (concussion)DoubtfulNoneQuestionableCB Donte Jackson (groin)Practice statusDid not participate in practiceTE Greg Olsen (foot)WR Curtis Samuel (medical illness)S DaNorris Searcy (concussion)G Trai Turner (concussion)Limited participation in practiceWR Damiere Byrd (knee)CB Donte Jackson (groin)Full participation in practiceNone Practice StatusDid not participate in practice = 0% of a player’s normal repetitionsLimited participation in practice = Less than 100% of a player’s normal repetitionsFull participation in practice = 100% of a player’s normal repetitionsGame StatusOut = Player will not playDoubtful = Player unlikely to playQuestionable = Uncertain if player will play
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